Analysis of External Drivers
The purpose of this report is to analyze external drivers that could have a significant impact on knowledge management methods and on farming systems as a whole for the next 25 years. The analysis was conducted on the basis of literature review and the personal judgment of the expert authors. For each external driver, the authors provided a description which also included recent data and a historical review of the driver. Moreover, the authors tried to identify the impact of each driver on potential yield, prices, costs, farm management, labor resources, education, environment and technical equipment development. The impacts were weighted also in terms of time (short – mid – long term impact) and in terms of geospatial influence (national, EU – wide, worldwide). The above mentioned analysis was followed by important comments for each driver that the author wished to state as well as an importance grade (from 0 to 5) which shows the extend to which the certain driver is expected to influence farming systems as a whole in the future. Finally, a SWOT analysis was conducted for each driver, on the basis of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats that the influence of each driver could impose on knowledge management methods and on farming systems as they are today. Based on the above analysis, external drivers were categorized based on their importance grade and on their influence on potential yield, prices, costs etc. Additionally, the influence of each external driver on the rest of them was identified (again based on the experience of expert authors). A dependence matrix of external drivers was created, where each driver was evaluated according to its impact on each of the rest.